COVID-19 Update 5: Estimating case fatality rates for COVID-19

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In this video, you will learn about COVID-19 case fatality rates and how to estimate and calculate them.

We review and utilize the data from the Johns Hopkins coronavirus map, as of March 3rd, 2020. There we have the total number of confirmed cases, total deaths and total cases recovered.

So what’s that time delay in COVID-19? Many want to know what’s the delay between when a patient is reported as a case until eventual death? We look at the natural progression of the disease – the time of infection, the time of symptom onset, the time when that case is reported, and the time of death.
The incubation period of COVID-19 has been estimated to be around 5.2 days on average.This study found a mean duration of 7.1 days for symptom onset to reporting.The time from disease onset to eventual death is 22.3 days.

We have constructed a fictitious epidemic to further demonstrate the needed data and calculations.

#medmastery #coronavirus #COVID19 #sarscov2 #coronaviruschina #coronavirustruth #coronavirusdeaths #WHO #wuhan #infection #pandemic #publichealth
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Links for reference:
https://campustechnology.com/articles/2020/03/05/johns-hopkins-dashboard-maps-global-coronavirus-cases.aspx?m=1
https://www.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.01.29.20019547v2
https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-2019-nCoV-severity-10-02-2020.pdf
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Useful resources:
For checking daily developments of cases, deaths and more:
https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

Other useful resources:
Journal Watch:
https://www.jwatch.org/na51020/2020/03/04/covid-19-collection-nejm-journal-watch-coverage
New England Journal of Medicine:
https://www.nejm.org/coronavirus
Github collaboration:
https://github.com/midas-network/COVID-19/blob/master/parameter_estimates/2019_novel_coronavirus/README.md#doubling-time
CDC:
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/php/preparing-communities.html
WHO:
https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019
Nucleuswealth:
https://nucleuswealth.com/articles/updated-coronavirus-statistics-cases-deaths-mortality-rate/

Watch the other Medmastery COVID-19 Updates:
COVID-19 Update: How to tell if a pandemic is likely to occur or not–R0 and the serial interval
Watch: https://bit.ly/3cGPaJL

COVID-19 Update: How to stop an epidemic – Herd immunity
Watch: https://bit.ly/39ETbwr

COVID-19 Update: Symptoms of COVID-19
Watch: https://bit.ly/39CIzxX

COVID-19 Update: Clinical characteristics of COVID-19
Watch: https://bit.ly/39CKgf1

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Speaker: Franz Wiesbauer, MD MPH
Internist & Founder at Medmastery
LinkedIn: https://at.linkedin.com/in/franzwiesbauer
PubMed: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/?term=Franz+Wiesbauer

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Please Note: Medmastery’s videos, medical lectures, medical illustrations, and medical animations are for medical education and exam preparation purposes, and not intended to replace recommendations by your doctor or health care provider.

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